In the words of Benjamin Graham, "in the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run it is a weighing machine."
What this says to me is that while the topsy turvy world that is the American electorate voted to change their Congressperson as a way to vent, Wall Street doesn't believe that things will actually get any better anytime soon. As there were more Democrats in Congress, it just makes sense that more of them were made to pay for the recession we are going through. In American politics there has always been a very strong "throw the bums out" strain when things in the economy are going poorly. So it was an outcome that was not a surprise as it has happened with regularity during midterm elections in the past. In recent memory alone:
- Newt Gingrich (R) became Speaker during President Clinton's (D) tenure
- Nancy Pelosi (D) became Speaker during President Bush's (R) tenure
So do the elections of 2010 meaning anything? If it means anything at all it's that the recession caused by the mortgage bubble that tanked the economy in 2008 is still with us and has caused a lot of pain for American voters who want to "throw the bums out". And they'll do it again in 2 years if things don't improve.
I still see the glass half full and believe that there is hope that things will improve but it won't be easy. The formula for turning things around involves just 2 actors: the private sector and the public sector, or the government. Just today the Fed Reserve, the nation's central banker, announced it is buying $600 billion in debt as a way to bring down long term interest rates. Now we need the private sector to hire Americans and not send jobs overseas. American companies are sitting on a record amount of cash (Apple alone added $17 billion to its balance sheet last year) and without more investment the only other option is another stimulus bill from Congress which Mr. Boehner has already dismissed. At times like these we need leadership. Will they answer the call?
No comments:
Post a Comment